Assassinations, Proxy Chaos, and the Collapse Agenda
Israel has made the decision to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as part of a broader strategy to induce total state collapse. This is not speculation—it is a logical progression in a carefully calculated campaign. Unless Iran establishes immediate and overwhelming deterrence—by striking both Israeli and U.S. assets, and eliminating senior figures within the Israeli regime—this plan will proceed.
Let’s be clear: this war is not about Iran’s nuclear program. Washington and Tel Aviv know full well they cannot eliminate Iran’s nuclear sites—they are too fortified, dispersed, and recoverable. The true goal is regime annihilation and national disintegration, carried out in deliberate phases.
Phase One: Eliminate Military and Scientific Leadership
The first phase involves decapitating Iran’s top military leadership and Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) command, targeting nuclear scientists, and committing mass-casualty strikes under the false pretext of military necessity. This is intended to appear “measured,” giving the illusion of restraint, while in reality laying the groundwork for full-scale destabilization.
If Iran responds timidly or symbolically, as it did in previous retaliations, the U.S.-Israeli axis interprets that as confirmation that Iran will not uphold its red lines. That becomes their green light to escalate to the next phase: assassinations of top political figures, including Khamenei.
The Endgame: Chaos, Not Monarchy
The ultimate objective is not to install a U.S.-friendly monarchist puppet—Washington and Tel Aviv know the Shah’s son has no real constituency in Iran. The goal is to “Libya” Iran: to unleash chaos, unleash proxy wars, and unleash death.
CIA-Mossad-funded militias like the MEK are already trained and waiting. The model is textbook: begin with bombings, reintroduce a manufactured “ISIS” presence, and collapse the nation from within. It will be presented as a civil war, but in reality it will be a foreign-orchestrated bloodbath. Gulf-backed puppet regimes will act as launch pads and funders.
This project was conceived long before Trump’s election and enjoys bipartisan U.S. support. The entire military-intelligence-media complex is aligned behind it, regardless of which party occupies the White House. It is about global hegemony: Iran’s alliance with Russia and China, and its leadership in the Axis of Resistance, poses a real threat to U.S.-Israeli regional dominance.
Assassinations and the Collapse of Deterrence
Iran once had deterrence. Israel refrained from killing Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah for years not because it couldn’t, but because it feared the consequences. Gallant openly admitted this. Assassinations aren’t a question of capability—they’re a question of will and consequence.
But that deterrence is now shattered. Let’s review the sequence:
- April 1, 2024: Israel bombs Iran’s embassy, killing many.
- April 13: Iran responds with “Operation True Promise I”—a symbolic, pre-announced strike causing minimal damage.
- May 19: Israel assassinates President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Amir Abdollahian. Iran downplays it as an “accident” to avoid retaliation.
- July 30: Hezbollah’s Fuad Shukr is assassinated.
- July 31: Hamas leader Haniyeh is killed in Tehran.
- September: Israel launches indiscriminate attacks in Lebanon, blinding and killing children.
- September 27: Israel assassinates Nasrallah.
With no proportionate retaliation, Iran's red lines became meaningless. Deterrence vanished.
Operation True Promise II and Its Limits
On October 1st, Iran launched Operation True Promise II—a more significant response, but still limited. No Israeli officials were killed. No high-value military or political targets. Iran hit infrastructure, but not leadership. Again, the cost to Israel was minimal, and the message to them was clear: the risk is low, escalation is worth it.
From Tel Aviv’s perspective, it’s a fantastic trade: eliminate the figurehead of the Axis of Resistance, absorb a few missiles hitting empty buildings, and move on to the next phase.
Breaking the Cycle: What Must Be Done
This cycle must be broken immediately.
Escalation must be pursued not recklessly, but decisively—projecting what Israel and the U.S. have always relied on: unflinching, terrifying resolve.
If deterrence is not immediately and unambiguously restored, tens of millions could suffer the consequences. Iran’s dismemberment will become the model for future wars of annihilation.
The Nuclear Question
As scholar John Mearsheimer has argued, Iran should acquire nuclear weapons. The instant it does, the calculus changes. Israel and the U.S. would back off, just as they have with nuclear-armed North Korea. A bomb, in this context, is not a threat—it is insurance against extinction.
A Final Word on Propaganda
Imagine the global reaction if any country killed top U.S., UK, or French officials and military scientists. Western media would not say “calm down, it’s fine.” Yet this is how Israeli assassinations are portrayed—as normalized, even justified.
Israel is not “defending itself.” It is prosecuting a war of aggression, and Iran is being shamed for not playing along with its own destruction.
This is not a war waiting to start. It is already underway. And if Iran does not immediately make its enemies fear it as deeply as it once did, the war will be lost—before it even fully begins.
Source:
This article is adapted and expanded from a tweet thread by @zei_squirrel. Original content can be found on X (formerly Twitter).
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